I am probably right to say that invading Venezuela would constitute a serious violation of international law. However, I am probably wrong when I say that this closer look analysis from Cloudflare feels very blurry (mostly because my technical skills regarding this article are close to zero, and I cannot clearly explain why). I have read other articles that were more precise and far less “nothing to see here” in tone.

I then find myself speculating (probably wrongly) about the intentions behind writing such an article. This has raised doubts and left me with an uncomfortable feeling, as if I were drifting toward conspiracy-theory thinking. All of this stems from reading that article.

Still, it would make sense to disrupt communications (and collect large amounts of data) prior to invading a country. Ultimately, for me, the core issue is the illegality of such actions when they are carried out by the most influential and powerful country in the world: a country that, increasingly, no one can fully trust anymore.

I am sorry for letting my emotions flow like that. It may not be the adequate spot to do so, but let me be clear: this Cloudflare article smells badly.

On the one hand, the Cloudflare article doesn’t smell bad to me. As someone who gets to pay attention to this type of thing, these kinds of things really do happen frequently, and mistakes are the most common cause.

If the US government had enough access to try to intentionally do this, they had enough access to snoop on traffic with methods that would not be visible to the outside world, and they would work more reliably than these BGP shenanigans. So I’d suggest you are right about the lack of trust, even if this particular event is probably not supporting evidence. I’d also agree with other posters that any such trust was misplaced in the first place.