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alt227 2 hours ago

People love this graph and regularly tout it as if it explains full internet usage. Especially when they dont bother to add any explanation or comment alongside it.

This graph is mainly due to the fact that telcos use IPv6 for mobile devices, nothing more. Over time you will see that graph flatline and peter out as mobile device uage reaches critical mass.

zokier 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

In US even desktops have 45% adoption rate: https://radar.cloudflare.com/explorer?dataSet=http&groupBy=i...

afaik every single major US fixed line ISP is rolling out ipv6.

WorldMaker an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It seems more the other end of the stick: the IPv4 side of the graph is mainly held up due to corporations. The consumer internet continues to switch, but corporate VPNs are going to continue to drag down the numbers until corporations get charged enough for IPv4 address space that bottom lines start to notice.

patrickmcnamara 38 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It was simply to point out that you are objectively incorrect. No commentary was necessary. My phone and home broadband both use IPv6 primarily.

lazide 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Every major ISP in the US, India, and most of the rest of Asia that I’ve seen is handing out and using IPv6 now too.

Hell, chances are if you got a new router (like any new client) for your ISP, you’d be on v6 too.

alt227 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Yep, and even with all those countries with their billions of mobile devices IPv6 use still hasnt even reached 50%.

Pretty much all ISPs hand out both IPv6 and IPv4 addresses to their clients, this is nothing new. When they start only issueing IPv6 IPs is when it would start truly taking off, but it will never get to that point and it will never happen.

gmanley an hour ago | parent | next [-]

It feels like you are constantly moving goal posts here. Your original statement was it will die a slow and quiet death. Are you now saying that this mobile use case will start to switch back to IPv4? It may not kill IPv4, like was initially planned, but it's not going away.

Aloisius an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

According to APNIC labs, IPv6 adoption in India is ~79% and in China it is ~53%.

Those are the only two countries that could plausibly have billions of mobile devices and they appear to have reached 50%.

India: https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/CN?c=IN&x=1&v=1&p=1&r=1&w=...

China: https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/CN?c=CN&x=1&v=1&p=1&r=1&w=...

lazide 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Looks like it’s right at 50% and rapidly increasing.

[https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html]

What exactly are you going on about? 5-10 years for the old devices to be EOL’d, and we’ll likely be at 95%.

nine_k an hour ago | parent [-]

Devices maybe, software won't :-\ (We're going to see ever-diminishing pockets of IPv4 around for a loooong time, much like we still see pockets of Cobol.)

lazide an hour ago | parent [-]

pick a lane?