> but further enshittification seems like the world's safest bet.

Are you really, actually willing to bet that today's hosted LLM performance per dollar is the peak? That it's all going to be worse at some arbitrary date (necessary condition for establishing a bet) in the future?

Would need to be evaluated by a standard benchmark, agreed upon ahead of time. No loopholes or vague verbiage allow something to be claimed as "enshittification" or other vague terms.

Sorry, didn't realize what you were actually referring to. Certainly I'd assume the models will keep getting better from the standpoint of reasoning performance. But much of that improved performance will be used to fool us into buying whatever the sponsor is selling.

That part will get worse, given that it hasn't really even begun ramping up yet. We are still in the "$1 Uber ride" stage, where it all seems like a never-ending free lunch.