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rsynnott a day ago

That feels a bit different. By 2005 it was obvious that digital cameras would, at some point in the future, be good enough to replace most high-end film camera use, unless Moore’s Law went out the window entirely. So it was highly likely that digital cameras would take over. There is no inevitability to llm coding tools hitting that ‘good enough’ state.

And they’re not even really talking about the future. People are making extremely expansive claims about how amazing llm coding tools are _right now_. If these claims were correct, one would expect to see it in the market.