| ▲ | chairmansteve 2 days ago | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
These gambits never work though. In 6 months you'll be able to get memory chips and GPUs for nothing..... There's a few historical examples here.... | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▲ | mschuster91 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
> In 6 months you'll be able to get memory chips and GPUs for nothing. I highly doubt that. Memory chip production takes years to scale up, which is partially a reason why the memory market (both RAM and solid-storage) is so susceptible to "pig cycles" - high prices incentivize new players to join the market (although less likely than decades ago, given just how much capital one needs and how complex the technology has gotten) and for established players to scale up their production, and then prices collapse due to oversupply. For GPUs, the situation is even worse. During the GPU crypto mining craze, at least that was consumer GPUs so there indeed was an influx of cheap second hand gear once that market collapsed due to ASICs - but this time? These chips don't even have the hardware for rendering videos any more, so even if GPU OEMs would now get a ton of left over GPU chips they couldn't make general-purpose GPUs out of them any more. Additionally, this assumption assumes that the large web of AI actors collapses in the next 6 months, which is even more unlikely - there's just too much actual cash floating around in the market. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▲ | Y_Y 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
!RemindMe six months Of course I'm joking, there are LLMs to check these things now. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||