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SiempreViernes 2 days ago

The current "carefully designed orbits" has a starlink sat doing a collision avoidance manuever every 1.8 minutes on average according to their filing for December 1 to May 31 of this year.

MarkusQ a day ago | parent [-]

Interestingly, the report from which they draw that number is one of the few that they cite but do not link to. Here's a link:

https://www.scribd.com/document/883045105/SpaceX-Gen1-Gen2-S...

It also notes that the collision odds on which SpaceX triggers such maneuvers is 333 times more conservative than the industry standard. Were that not the case (and they were just using the standard criterion) one might naively assume that they would only be doing a maneuver every ten hours or so. But collision probabilities are not linear, they follow a power law distribution so in actuality they would only be doing such maneuvers every few days.

It is disingenuous to the point of dishonesty to use SpaceX's abundance of caution (or possibly braggadocios operational flex) as evidence that the risk is greater than it actually is.