Today's front page is not a clean 10 year extrapolation from this. That's where AI is wrong. The future is weird and zig zags, it's not so linear as the Gemini generated page.

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atomicnumber3 15 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Honest question - do you think that everyone else thinks this is even REMOTELY what the front page will look like in 10 years?

I comment because I really cannot figure out why you left your comment. Do you think the rest of the commenters think this has predicted the future? It might be one thing to point out specific trends you think will not play out, or unexpected trends you think may show up that are currently left out. But to just remark that the future will contain things we cannot currently predict seems so inherently, unspokenly obvious that I just have to assume that wasn't the point of your post, and I've missed it entirely.

Sorry, I'm really not trying to be mean or anything - i'm just really confused.

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wavemode 14 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Your confusion seems to stem from the assumption that, making a statement is an implicit assertion that most people believe the opposite of that statement.

In reality, statements are often made rather for the purpose of emphasis or rhetoric.

	▲	abustamam 11 hours ago \| parent [-]
		That's a good point, and something I'll have to remember for the future, but I'm curious what the emphasis or rhetoric of GP comment would be.

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johnfn 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

To answer your question: I think that GP mostly wanted to share the insight that the future zig-zags, which is kind of non obvious and a fun thing to think about. People often like leaving comments about interesting thoughts or ideas, even if they are only tangentially related.

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neuronic 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This is a problem with nearly all predictions about the future. Everything is just a linear extrapolation of the status quo. How could a system have predicted the invention of the transformer model in 2010? At best some wild guess about deep learning possibilities.

Or the impact of smartphones in 2003? Sure smart phones were considered but not the entire app ecosystem and planetary behavioral adaptation.

	▲	seizethecheese 15 hours ago \| parent [-]
		Yes, of course this is right. However, I do think LLMs suffer even more than people from linear extrapolation.

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sva_ 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

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