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bdangubic 3 hours ago

this is same as polling data when Trump is running - no one wants to admit they will vote for DJT much like no one wants to admit these days that “AI” is doing (lots of) their work :)

jokes aside I do trust economist’s heart is in the right place but misguided IMO. “the investors” (much like many here on HN) expected “AI” to be magic thing and are dealing with some disappointment that most of us are still employed. the next stage of “investor sentiment” just may be “shoot, not magic but productivity is through the roof”

sarchertech 3 hours ago | parent [-]

>productivity is through the roof

Where are the hard numbers? Number of games on Steam, new GitHub projects, new products released, GDP growth—anything.

bdangubic 2 hours ago | parent [-]

the numbers I could provide you are just what I have been involved with and we are 2.5/3.0x points-wise from 16 months ago. my team decided to actually measure productivity gains so we kept the estimation process the same (i.e. if we AI-automated something we still estimate as if we have to do it manually). we are about to stop this on Jan 1

since you referenced a trusted Economist here’s much-more-we-know-what-we-are-talking-about MIT saying 12% of workforce is replaceable by AI (I think this is too low) - https://iceberg.mit.edu/