Dependence on Redmond and Washington (for high-complexity software, national security, and any other "really hard" stuff) is a very easy, comfy local optimum.

Actual independence would require a great deal of competence, expenditure, hard work, long-range planning, and time living unhappily far from any optimum.

While the Dutch obviously know how to do that - nobody in America is keeping the North Sea at bay for them - I would not bet that they'll actually do it here.