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bryanlarsen 5 hours ago

China will invade Taiwan when they start losing, not when they're increasingly winning.

As long as "tomorrow" is a better day to invade Taiwan than today is, China will wait for tomorrow.

Xss3 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Their demographics beg to differ.

bryanlarsen 4 hours ago | parent [-]

If demographics were a big deal, it'd be part of the same "better to invade today or tomorrow" calculation.

Zeihan's predictions on China have been fabulously wrong for 20+ years now.