The impulse to make the comparison makes sense. The reality is a bit different, probably leans in the right direction but is buffered by learning. I’ll explain. There is no upside to delaying purchasing if you think things will get less expensive. There is however upside in building today even if you have to rebuild tomorrow, and that upside is in learning the problem space. Specifically, what is likely to be trivialized and what truly requires domain knowledge. Horizontal apps? Little domain knowledge to encode. Vertical app? More domain knowledge to encode. Separately, there are more ways to differentiate than distribution alone, see verifier’s law. Problems that are challenging to verify are challenging for AI to trivialize.