Looking like 2028-2030 but it's a moving target.

Since we're basically getting flying cars next year at the World Cup, I guess it's going to be after flying cars.

I prefer fusion power as the go-to vapourware technology. It’s been “10-20 years out” for 70 years and counting.

I don’t see any reason to believe that “AGI office workers” will be ready to go by 2030. All signs right now are pointing to a looming plateau in their capabilities.

	▲	marcosdumay 37 minutes ago \| parent [-]
		Fusion has halved the "interval until we get it" on those 50 years. AGI has doubled the "interval until we get it" twice already since 2022. Those things are not the same kind of vaporware.

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sofixa a minute ago | parent | prev [-]

> Since we're basically getting flying cars next year at the World Cup

That's so funny. Regular people can't hahndle regular cars. Self-driving cars barely handle 2 dimensional space within very specific confines and rules, in good weather. Existing airspace is congested to the point of being problematic in most metro areas around the world.

"Flying cars" might be replacing some private heliopters, maybe. But they aren't going mainstream any time soon.