> It's true that any modern processor has a "compilation step" into microcode anyway, so in an abstract sense, that might as well be some kind of bytecode.

This.

> What I can imagine is a purpose-built CPU that would make the JIT's job a lot easier and faster than compiling for x86 or ARM. Such a machine wouldn't execute raw Java bytecode, rather, something a tiny bit more low-level.

My prediction is that eventually a lot of software will be written in such a way that it runs in "kernel mode" using a memory-safe VM to avoid context switches, so reading/writing to pipes, and accessing pages corresponding to files reduces down to function calls, which easily happen billions of times per second, as opposed to "system calls" or page faults which only happen 10 or 20 million times per second due to context switching.

This is basically what eBPF is used for today. I don't know if it will expand to be the VM that I'm predicting, or if kernel WASM [1] or something else will take over.

From there, it seems logical that CPU manufacturers would provide compilers ("CPU drivers"?) that turn bytecode into "microcode" or whatever the CPU circuitry expects to be in the CPU during execution, skipping the ISA. This compilation could be done in the form of JIT, though it could also be done AOT, either during installation (I believe ART in Android already does something similar [0], though it currently emits standard ISA code such as aarch64) or at the start of execution when it finds that there's no compilation cache entry for the bytecode blob (the cache could be in memory or on disk, managed by the OS).

Doing some of the compilation to "microcode" in regular software before execution rather than using special CPU code during execution should allow for more advanced optimisations. If there are patterns where this is not the case (eg, where branch prediction depends on runtime feedback), the compilation output can still emit something analogous to what the ISAs represent today. The other advantage is of course that CPU manufacturers are more free to perform hardware-specific optimisations, because the compiler isn't targeting a common ISA.

Anyway, these are my crazy predictions.

[0] https://source.android.com/docs/core/runtime/jit-compiler

[1] https://github.com/wasmerio/kernel-wasm (outdated)