Tbh, the answer is simple: if we truly get AGI, the government would nationalize it because it's a matter of national security and prosperity for that matter. Everything will change forever. Agriculture, Transportation, Health... Breakthrough after breakthrough after breakthrough. The country would hold the actual key to solve almost any problem.

when you write it out like that, it sounds unfathomably… silly.

I'm not a tinfoil hat skeptic, and i'd like to think i can accept the rationale behind the possibility. But I don't think we're remotely close as people seem to think.

The government only nationalises losses, not wins.

The key to typing out the solution to any problem, not actually solving it.

Looking at the current state of politics around the world...you really think that would be the outcome?