| ▲ | ajross 8 hours ago | |||||||
You can't hedge against a whole market. And you can't time bubble pop events anyway. You can dump NVDA today, sure, because it's overvalued at $180. And most of us agree. But that won't prevent it from going to $300 before it pops (which is totally reasonable too!), so dumping it today might hurt as much as it helps. Run-ups at the end of a speculative bubble are by definition irrational and produce in-hindsight-ridiculous numbers. If you're young and invested for the long term, just leave all your junk in broad index securities. You can't do better than that, you just have to ride the bumps. On the other hand, I'm approaching retirement and looking seriously at when to pull the trigger. The aggregate downside to me of a large market drop or whatever is much higher than it is to a 20-something, because losing out on (to make a number up) an extra 30% of net worth is minor when compared to "now you have to work another three years before retiring" (or alternate framings like "you have to retire in Houston and not Miami", etc...). So most of my assets are moving out of volatiles entirely. | ||||||||
| ▲ | _zoltan_ 7 hours ago | parent [-] | |||||||
into? bonds? | ||||||||
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