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politelemon 12 hours ago

I find that unlikely, my forecasts for much of Europe and East Asia have been consistently accurate.

dylan604 12 hours ago | parent | next [-]

How do DOGE implemented budget cuts affect European or East Asian forecasts? Those are not the forecasts that someone suspecting departmental DOGEing to be a fault.

NoiseBert69 11 hours ago | parent | next [-]

If the US does less data gathering (balloon starts, buoy maintenance, setting up weather huts in super remote sites, etc.) it will affect all forecasts.

Models all use a "current world state" of all sensors available to bootstrap their runs.

Similar thing happened during the beginning of Covid-19: they are using modified cargo/passenger planes to gather weather data during their routine trips. Suddenly this huge data source was gone (but was partially replaced by the experimental ADM-Aeolus satellite - which turned out to be a huge global gamer changer due to its unexpected high quality data)

integralid 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

But GP said they only USED TO blame DOGE, and blame Google now?

LogicFailsMe 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Yeah... So you know that's not the United States right? Though judging by the down votes, it's quite triggering for some and I can't say which side when I pivot from blaming DOGE to blaming bad AI. Curious(tm)...

And I say that as a huge fan of AI, but being vocally self-critical is an important attribute for professional success in AI and elsewhere.