> Let's take someone who once upon a time was responsible for grading papers. As far as that person is concerned, AGI has arrived for their profession

You're talking about TAs. I know TAs. Their jobs have not disappeared. They are not using AI to grade papers.

> Are you really going to hire that developer because you need extra manpower to stand up test coverage?

Yes. Unsupervised AI agents cannot currently replace developers. "Oh we'll get someone to supervise it"—yes, that person's job title is "developer" and they will be doing largely the same job they'd have done 5 years ago.

> The universe of people getting paid to make CRUD apps is over.

Tell that to all the people who get paid to make CRUD apps. Frankly, Airtable has done more to disrupt CRUD apps than AI ever did.

> Rome needed to recognize that the Barbarian hordes had arrived.

IDK what to tell you. All these jobs are still around. You're just fantasizing.

Can you seriously deny that it will take many fewer developers using LLMs to do what was done without LLMs? Many if not most software companies have either greatly slowed hiring, or laid off tranches of developers.

Not all developer jobs will disappear, but there will most certainly be fewer available. Any new grad can tell you how hard it is to find a software engineering job nowadays.

Certainly we cannot just let an AI spin and build software unattended. But what used to take days can now be done in minutes.