Helpful to remember that we humans often say "I think" to mean "I am fairly confident based on my hunch", and in that sense AI is very good at hunching.

Helpful to also remember that humans say "I know" when they empirically might not actually "know" that at all. Not to mention your "know" is different from my "know" and all that, see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epistemology.

So the question is: when will ai hunching produce better results than humans?

IMHO not too long now given the rate of improvements.