Fully autonomous agents are marketing fluff right now, but there is like $10T of TAM from promoting most knowledge workers to a manager and automating the boring 80% of their work, and this doesn’t require this full autonomy.

Karpathy’s definition of “agent” here is really AGI (probably somewhere between expert and virtuoso AGI https://arxiv.org/html/2311.02462v2). In my taxonomy you can have non-AGI short-task-timeframe agents. Eg in the METR evals, I think it’s meaningful to talk about agent tasks if you set the thing loose for 4-8h human-time tasks.