I wish the world could stop giving claims like this, in general, any attention.

We do not know how "far away" we are from "AGI" period. It's also useless. If you're correct...so what? Someone may have been able to perfectly predict the advent of railway travel. Guess what, this gave them 0 advantage unless they already had tons of capital to invest, which is effectively what makes the realization of the predicted thing come to fruition in the first place. Bets like these are at best self-fulfilling prophecies if you are a billionaire and at worst ideal chatter that makes us all stupider the more time we waste on them and the more we let wildly unchecked claims like this dictate behaviors in the present that actually affect us.