Intuition of someone who has put in a decade or two of wondering openly can't me discounted as easily as someone who might be a beginner to it.

AGI to encompass all of humanity's knowledge in one source and beat every human on every front might be a decade away.

Individual agents with increased agency adequately covering more and more abilities consistently? Seems like a steady path that can be seen into the horizon to put one foot in front of the other.

For me, the grain of salt I'd take Karpathy with is much, much, smaller than average, only because he tries to share how he thinks and examines his own understanding and changes it.

His ability to explain complex things simply is something that for me helps me learn and understand things quicker and see if I arrive at something similar or different, and not immediately assume anything is wrong, or right without my understanding being present.