| ▲ | dlcarrier a day ago |
| Redefinitions aside, fully capable AI is right up there with commercially viable fusion power, cost effective quantum completing, and fully capable self-driving cars, as a technology that is quickly advancing yet always a decade or two away. |
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| ▲ | RivieraKid a day ago | parent | next [-] |
| Waymo's self-driving cars are scaling quickly. With some inaccuracy it can be said that the problem is solved, we have the technology for a full-scale deployment, we just need to do the boring work to deploy it everywhere. |
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| ▲ | bondarchuk 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| re: fusion: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:U.S._historical_fusi... |
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| ▲ | a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | SequoiaHope a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Fusion power seems closer than ever. And plenty of experts just five years ago thought AGI would still be decades away. A credible expert suggesting AGI is ten years away is a sign of real progress. |
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| ▲ | newsclues a day ago | parent | prev [-] |
| What was the last example where humans succeeded at a hard problem like that? Space flight? |
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| ▲ | mkipper a day ago | parent | next [-] | | Even if it's not some staggering triumph of human achievement, I'd argue that Ozempic (etc.) is similar. A magic weight loss drug has always captured the public's imagination, and it feels like I've been hearing about new weight loss drug studies in the news for my entire life that never went anywhere. | | | |
| ▲ | jaza a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | We've "succeeded" at space flight about as much as we've "succeeded" at AI. Yay, man on the moon! Over half a century later, and it turns out that the "next small step" - man on Mars - isn't so small and still hasn't been achieved. Anything remotely resembling sci-fi-style ubiquitous space travel remains exactly that - sci-fi! | | |
| ▲ | newsclues 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | Flying a plane and intercontinental flight are different levels of the same remarkable achievement. A man on the moon, or the SpaceX rockets that land and can rapidly relaunch, both feel like hard problems that have been solved, although it’s not the next hard step of intergalactic space travel. |
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| ▲ | RivieraKid a day ago | parent | prev [-] | | Waymo, which works and is scaling quickly. |
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