Remix.run Logo
rrjjww 17 hours ago

The lack of information was my inspiration for building Riskvest. I called my own broker and when I said catastrophic bonds they asked if I meant buying bonds already in default.

On the risk side - your comments here are part of the myth I’m trying to dispel and will have lots more to say in future posts.

Yes for a single CAT bond you are exposed to potential 100% principle losses. But if you buy a bundle of CAT bonds that focus on say California Earthquake, Florida Hurricane, Japanese Typhoon, and a Cyber Event, you can imagine the diversification benefit you get there.

I’ve already created a very very simple model for people to play around with and learn the intuition for CAT bond return patterns. A default means 100% loss and this is unique vs. other bonds. I plan in the future to build a much more robust model.

https://www.riskvest.io/data-lab/cat-bond-portfolio-simulato...

bawolff 13 hours ago | parent [-]

> But if you buy a bundle of CAT bonds that focus on say California Earthquake, Florida Hurricane, Japanese Typhoon, and a Cyber Event, you can imagine the diversification benefit you get there.

Yeah, but imagine how bad a day you're having if all of those disasters happen at once, and then as a cherry on top you lose all your money.

itake 11 hours ago | parent [-]

Yeah, it seems like you’d want to buy bonds that covers areas that you’re not personally in…

richardfey 6 hours ago | parent [-]

Why? It's not like you can influence the trigger of any such catastrophe

pm215 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Same principle as why many people prefer not to own shares in the company that employs them -- you're already heavily exposed to that specific risk and don't want to add more. If you live in Florida then a hurricane in Florida already might mean financial loss for you if it damages your house, so buying a CAT bond that covers a different thing is more diversified risk: you might get "house is trashed" or "bond is total loss" but at least you probably will not get both at once.