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layer8 8 hours ago

1) I find numbers like “3-fold increased risk” a bit meaningless without knowing the baseline risk.

2) Here is an audio interview with one of the authors of the study: https://edhub.ama-assn.org/jn-learning/audio-player/19004027

glenstein 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

>1) I find numbers like “3-fold increased risk” a bit meaningless without knowing the baseline risk.

Yeah, I don't see this talked about enough. If it's three fold from 33% baseline to 99%, thats a big deal. If it's a three fold increase from 0.000000033% to 0.000000099%, even the new number is minuscule.

It's why, say, blue M&M's increasing risk of cancer by 75% isn't necessarily as big a problem as it sounds.

lisbbb an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

My father-in-law who died of pancreatic cancer in 2016 had excellent oral health. In fact, he never had a single cavity in his entire 76 years of life.