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cs702 15 hours ago

Missing from his analysis:

* The potential impact of humanoid robots currently in development.[a] What happens in the US, in Europe, in China, and other countries if (when) anyone can buy/lease a humanoid robot that speaks human languages, for less than the price of a cheap car, capable of performing any task performed today by human beings, at a tiny fraction of the annual expense (a few hundred dollars a year per robot)?

* The potential impact of AGI, should it become possible.[b] What happens in the US, in Europe, in China, and other countries if (when) anyone can buy/subscribe to software that speaks human languages, for less than the price of a phone plan, capable of performing any task performed on a computer today by human beings, at a tiny fraction of the annual expense?

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[a] Examples include humanoid robots by Tesla, Agility, 1X, and others. Videos: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpraXaw7dyc&pp=ygUNb3B0aW11c... , https://www.youtube.com/shorts/mOIxtSSa1NE , https://www.1x.tech/neo .

[b] There's no agreement as to whether AGI is possible, but predictions by people like Hans Moravec, Ray Kurzweil, and Vernor Vinge, going back to the 1980's (half a century ago), so far , are proving... right. We cannot blindly dismiss the possibility of AGI.

hulitu 9 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

> Examples include humanoid robots by Tesla,

This was remote controlled.

lazyeye 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I saw it described as "we suddenly discover a new country with millions of super geniuses who are willing to work 24/7 essentially for free". And III add these super geniuses can be instantly cloned on demand.