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cubefox 3 days ago

So you think superhuman intelligence is supernatural.

tptacek 3 days ago | parent [-]

If you want to substitute "science fiction" that's fine too. We generally don't bank real investment expectations on science fiction outcomes. The positive expectation scenario you've provided is "OpenAI obsoletes workers, to the extent that Walmart is small fish". That's a sci-fi outcome, not a rational expectation.

cubefox 3 days ago | parent [-]

You would have called ChatGPT or Dall-E science fiction just shortly before it actually came out.

tptacek 3 days ago | parent [-]

Perhaps. Also time travel machines. But for different reasons.