I can imagine it often being the case that if you measure a concise moderately difficult task over half a day or a few days, coding by hand might be faster.

But I think, and this is just conjecture, that if you measure over a longer timespan, the ai assisted route will be consistently faster.

And for me, this is down to momentum and stamina. Paired with the ai, I’m much more forward looking, always anticipating the next architectural challenge and filling in upcoming knowledge and resource gaps. Without the ai, I would be expending much more energy on managing people and writing code myself. I would be much more stop-and-start as I pause, take stock, deal with human and team issues, and rebuild my capacity for difficult abstract thinking.

Paired with a good ai agent and if I consistently avoid the well known pitfalls of said agent, development feels like it has the pace of cross country skiing, a long pleasant steady and satisfying burn.