> The early narrative was that companies would need fewer seniors, and juniors together with AI could produce quality code

I'm not deep into it, but I have not a single time seen that direction argued before this post. Maybe it was _really_ early on?

The narratives I always saw were, firstly, "it will be as a good as a junior dev", then "it's like pairing with an overly enthusiastic junior dev", then finally arguments similar to those presented in this article.

Which, frankly, I'm still not so sure about. Productivity is incredibly hard to measure: we are still not completely, non-anecdotally sure AI makes folk broadly more productive. And even if it does, I am beginning to wonder how much ai is short term productivity with long term brain rot, and whether that trade off is really worth it.