One of the stages was gov/military personnel became dependent on AI for decision making.

So.. a sci-fi short story?

That is the sarcastic take.

More generously, 'an Expert-Driven forecast that offers a possible extrapolation' or possible realistic scenario.

Parts of it seem to be coming true already, parts of it are dependent on some technology breakthroughs that haven't happened.

Forecasting mileage may vary

	▲	adastra22 2 days ago \| parent [-]
		LW’s forecasting ability here has been notoriously bad, fwiw. I don’t have any reason to trust anything they say on the subject, and in fact every reason to suspect.