Zelensky at the MSC 2022: “If … results do not guarantee security for our country, Ukraine will have every right to believe that the Budapest Memorandum is not working and all the package decisions of 1994 are in doubt”[0]. 4 days later Russia invaded Ukraine. At the time it was said that Ukraine pursuing nuclear weapons was the last straw, but who know really.

If Taiwan is going to place nuclear weapons on its territory the conflict would probably escalate quickly.

0. https://kyivindependent.com/zelenskys-full-speech-at-munich-...

Could well be a trigger. This is a reason to do it quickly by having already existing, tested nukes handed over for use by the threatened state.

There is a problem with this kind of reasoning though. It's like, somebody shows up 'try to grab my gun and I'll shoot' but the thing is, he might shoot anyway, and if you grab the gun, maybe you'll get hold of it.

When someone threatens something, that's not reason for stepping down, passivity or anything like that, it's reason to immediately risk everything on an attack to take away the thing he has that allows him to threaten you. By threatening something he only demonstrates that he must be attacked immediately.

I like an example I gave earlier with hostages. It's Monday, someone has taken a hostage and threatens to kill unless left alone. The next day he's taken another, he has the same threat. On friday, he has five. Now, you realise you should have attacked on Monday when your attack only risked one death.

So today, the question might be 'why didn't we start building nukes last year?'