| ▲ | __alexs a day ago |
| Can't shake the feeling that domestic PV is a con designed to try and shift responsibility for the climate crisis to consumers rather than industrial energy providers. The ROI of a large PV farm must be substantially better than a home scale install. |
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| ▲ | Kon5ole a day ago | parent | next [-] |
| >The ROI of a large PV farm must be substantially better than a home scale install. There are many benefits to letting homeowners do it. First of all you get a lot more solar deployed in much shorter time, because you mobilize hundreds of thousands of people to the effort immediately instead of having them wait for a solar plant. Homeowners pay for it, provide the area for it, hire and organize the workforce - small scale but "everywhere at once" so to speak. The government/state/county doesn't need to wait for the land to be available, raise the money, build infrastructure to transfer electricity from a new large solar site to the consumers and so on. So for the "state" the ROI is better with home installs. >responsibility for the climate crisis to consumers rather than industrial energy providers. That's where the responsibility belongs through. Most of us drove fossil fuel cars for years, which is the largest single emission source. In democracies we could have voted for guys wanting gas to cost 50 bucks per gallon, or who would prohibit any more oil and gas to be traded. We didn't.
We could have refused to travel for vacations, refused to buy goods shipped from overseas and so on - but we didn't. So this is on us. |
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| ▲ | __alexs 19 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | This mostly seems to support my statement that the ROI is worse. You cannot discount the cost of the house entirely in the equation. Many people are not even home owners. | | |
| ▲ | Kon5ole 18 hours ago | parent [-] | | You may be right about the ROI in a strict sense, I just question why it matters. A communal solar farm is not the same product as personal home solar anyway. When someone with surplus money decides to pay for their own solar it might be suboptimal ROI for them, but the rest of us get a little bit of solar benefits for 0 money. And more importantly, solar starts replacing fossil fuels rightaway. No waiting for a communal, optimal ROI initiative to get started. But of course, we should do those as well. | | |
| ▲ | __alexs 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | What other sense could I possibly mean it? A home owner who puts PV on their home could instead have invested in a larger scale PV business and made more energy per dollar. By putting the panels on their home they have robbed us of electricity. |
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| ▲ | triceratops 21 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > In democracies we could have voted for guys wanting gas to cost 50 bucks per gallon... So this is on us Only kind of. The oil companies dusted off the old tobacco playbook. Democracies are unfortunately terribly vulnerable to well-funded liars. | | |
| ▲ | foxglacier 11 hours ago | parent [-] | | Approximately 0% of voters vote to ban fossil fuel use in cars overnight (some want to phase it out over a decade or two). So do you think it's too late and voters rationally don't want to anymore, or that almost every voter is still believing lies promoted by oil companies? What are the lies? | | |
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| ▲ | epistasis a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Check out your grid bill and you'll probably see that cost of the grid is higher than the cost of the generation. Local solar requires far less grid, and expanding the grid is one of the greatest (political, not technical) challenges of this era in the US. Unless you're accounting for the grid costs, the "cost" of utility vs. rooftop is not an apples-to-apples comparison. As far as a "con" the only con is that the costs in the US for rooftop solar are multiples higher of other places, like Australia. That's the con. Australia also shows that rooftop solar is great for grid in general, greatly driving down costs. Of course, rooftop solar is terrible for utilities, so you are going to encounter tons of astroturf denouncing it all over the web, and even face to face. Utilities are fundamentally threatened by consumres taking over more and more of their own electricity responsibility, especially as batteries get super cheap. |
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| ▲ | __alexs 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | In terms of the costs to the grid the picture is not nearly that simple for distributed generation like home PV. Maybe you can defer building a new power plant or upgrading some HV power lines, but you also need the local power infrastructure to be capable of handling bidirectional flow. | |
| ▲ | EnPissant 20 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | The problem is when there are long stretches of little to no power generation. Fully covering those gaps with batteries would require very large (and costly) storage. During this time the grid needs to be large enough to support everyone, just the same as if solar did not exist. You can say it's terrible for utilities, but at the end of the day they will have to pass the cost of maintaining the grid along to non-solar customers. | | |
| ▲ | epistasis 20 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | What do you mean by long stretches? Are you talking about sundown to sunset? In many (most?) areas, wind picks up at night, wind can't really be "local", and demand is lower at night time so that's a great use for the grid. Also, batteries are getting so cheap that people are putting multiple days' worth of storage on wheels, driving them around, and parking them at home during the evening peak and overnight. When they are that cheap, adding 10-20 kWh of local storage is going to pay for itself in no time. When my neighbor is overproducing solar during the day, that means that he's sending his power over to my house, which doesn't have solar. Which means that my neighborhood is pulling down less peak power. And the grid is sized for peak power, not for minimal power, so whenever that peak is lowered, it saves me money but costs the utility profits. Because the utility gets to recoup a fixed profit rate off of any amount of grid they are allowed by the PUC to install, whether it was needed or not. My neighbor, with the solar, also pays lots of fees for the privilege of sending me power and requiring less grid. This effect of shaving the peak is so extreme that solar causes the California duck curve. Though the storage that's been added in just the past two years has pretty much solved any problems needed for the evening ramp as the sun goes down, now. | | |
| ▲ | EnPissant 20 hours ago | parent [-] | | It's only the highest peak that matters. During periods of Dunkelflaute[1], batteries will run dry and the grid will need to support everyone. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunkelflaute | | |
| ▲ | epistasis 20 hours ago | parent [-] | | Seems like a great time and place for the iron air batteries that are getting deployed now (Form Energy). Even in the US, without Dunkelflaute, these 100:1 energy:power batteries are economical and paying for themselves on the grid. If there are several of these occasions per year it could be a great fit. It also seems likely that HVDC from sunnier areas like Spain or maybe even Morocco could be cheap enough. I'd recommend nuclear but EDF is having such great difficulty building it. HVDC and other exotic solutions like enhanced geothermal seem for more practical at the moment. | | |
| ▲ | EnPissant 17 hours ago | parent [-] | | Do you ever actually converse with people or do you just DDoS them with random information. I made one simple point and you have not addressed it. | | |
| ▲ | epistasis 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | HVDC, long-duration batteries, and enhanced geothermal directly address your concern. And if they do not, you have not bothered to express your concern clearly. | | |
| ▲ | EnPissant 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | You’ve shifted to promoting renewables. That wasn’t the point. The point was cost-shift: rooftop customers still use the grid but avoid paying for fixed T&D. Address that. |
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| ▲ | hamdingers 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > The problem is when there are long stretches of little to no power generation. Fully covering those gaps with batteries would require very large (and costly) storage. Perhaps local solar installations could be incentivized to include their own smaller scale storage... | | |
| ▲ | epistasis 17 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | California has done this with their latest version of net metering for residenial solar, NEM 3. It makes solar a very financially unattractive option unless there's storage attached to the system, and has drastically reduced the rate of residential solar deployment. NEM3 was justified under the proposition that lower-income households were "funding" the higher income households to get solar. So as solar finally gets cheap enough for the lower income households, they changed the rules again so that only those rich enough to afford batteries and solar can save money. NEM3 has a few nice things about it when looked at narrowly, but overall seems pretty disastrous for the state. | | |
| ▲ | hamdingers 17 hours ago | parent [-] | | Disastrous is an oversimplification you can only make if you don't understand the broader context. Grid stability is more important than some homeowners saving some money, it turns out those extra kWh being dumped onto the grid were literally costing the operator money to deal with. Those costs got passed on to _other_ consumers because of the sweetheart deal. Residential solar installs are way down, that's correct, residential isn't the only venue for solar, and within residential storage capacity is skyrocketing and it's already having a measurable effect on the early evening peak. Lower peaks means less capacity needs to be built just to handle a few hours. This is good. The unequivocally negative impact I don't have an answer for is the job losses for solar installers. | | |
| ▲ | epistasis 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Grid stability is more important than some homeowners saving some money, it turns out those extra kWh being dumped onto the grid were literally costing the operator money to deal with. Those costs got passed on to _other_ consumers because of the sweetheart deal. If that was the concern they literally did nothing to stop it. Instead of dealing with backfeeding from a distribution station, they went entirely the other direction. Those grid costs, if they actually existed, were in isolated areas with high levels of solar, and NEM3 will continue deployments of solar in exactly those areas. Solar is not "savings for some homeowners" it's literally keeping grid costs down for everyone, keeping our grid reliable on the hottest hardest to run days. |
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| ▲ | EnPissant 16 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | It sounds like you are alluding to NEM3 here. If so, I'm not sure that was meant to incentivize small scale energy storage. They recently tried to implement a flat fee that would have killed residential solar entirely, even with batteries. That did not happen, but I think it shows the motivations. I'm also not sure batteries even change that much for the grid. You still need to have the capacity for lulls when all the batteries are empty. |
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| ▲ | gregable a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Rooftop solar doesn't require additional land to be purchased, reduces the need for more transmission lines, and reduces transmission losses. I don't know how big these all are but it seems plausible they make it a better deal than industrial solar. Batteries on the other hand feel like they take less space and thus could be colocated near consumption without having to be on consumer property. Warehouse size within the city. Transmission costs would be minimal. |
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| ▲ | __alexs 19 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | It doesn't do any of these things. I can't put PV on my neighbours house, I have to buy land to put it on. My home still needs a grid connection so all that infrastructure still needs to exist. Except now it's even more complex. PV and energy generation in general benefits massively from economies of scale. Home generation doesn't have that. | |
| ▲ | Scoundreller a day ago | parent | prev [-] | | The obvious point is that roofs have been built unnecessarily strong for decades. | | |
| ▲ | bronson a day ago | parent | next [-] | | Unnecessarily strong? 2kW of solar weighs about the same as one roofer. If your roof can't hold up solar, it also can't hold up the people that need to work on it. | |
| ▲ | Kon5ole a day ago | parent | prev [-] | | Because they can carry solar panels? Roofs have to handle several tons of wind pressure, snow, people walking on them and so on. They can handle solar panels no problem - which is why it's such a good idea to put solar panels on them. |
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| ▲ | dv_dt a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| The answer is do both, industrial utility PV has so far been lower cost, but individual PV is higher resilience - especially in the age of extreme weather events. I have a grid detachable PV system with battery. It's been invaluable for grid blackouts in my area to have the capability even as I have paid (at least for the first couple years) a higher price per kwh for it. Over more years, it's really nice to have price insulation against utility price increase. |
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| ▲ | xenadu02 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| It's the best kind of revolution: one that doesn't need permission from gatekeepers. At least not anymore. Don't underestimate the value of decentralization in some scenarios. |
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| ▲ | __alexs 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I need permission from the grid to feed in energy. I need to comply with building and electrical regulations related to the PV install. Of course there are still gate keepers. | |
| ▲ | tehjoker 21 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | It's still pretty amusing to regard this as "decentralized" when solar panels are produced in a centralized fashion. This is just changing who is buying things, not something fundemental. | | |
| ▲ | rictic 21 hours ago | parent [-] | | CPU production is centralized, but email is decentralized. Email changed a lot about the distribution of information without necessarily changing the distribution of industrial manufacturing. Likewise solar will change the distribution of energy without necessarily changing the distribution of industrial manufacturing. Once the panel arrives at your home it keeps making electricity for decades, without asking anyone's permission. | | |
| ▲ | jimmydorry 20 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Email is decentralised if you ignore that 99% of email must go through the gatekeepers known as Microsoft and Google. Sure, anyone can spin up an email server, but either one of the gatekeepers can arbitrarily decide to reject all email coming from your small server and there is no recourse beyond begging them to reconsider. | | |
| ▲ | tehjoker 19 hours ago | parent [-] | | The real infrastructure is the backbone providers and telecom companies. You can't do anything without them. |
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| ▲ | tehjoker 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | It is true that once they are installed after making a consumer choice, you will be more resilient, so I should concede it is a real difference, but nonetheless, it's control of production that still controls the entire ecosystem. In the case of utilities, control of production is felt instantaneously whereas with solar the lag is years. |
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| ▲ | Rastonbury a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| If one can offset your electricity bill by more the cost of the install and come out financially ahead then that is compelling to the individual, I doubt many people are knowingly eating a loss and stumping thousands upfront solely because they think they are helping the environment |
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| ▲ | __alexs 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | At least here in the UK financial literacy is so low that I think lots of people are doing exactly that. | |
| ▲ | Taek a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Well, solar salesmen can be pretty slimy, hiding costs left and right. That said, the monopoly utility grids have a chokehold on power, and escaping that monopoly is often worth the 2-5x premium you are going to have to pay vs a utility scale project. Plus, when people compare the cost of home solar vs utility solar, they often ignore all of the infrastructure (especially last mile infrastructure) that's needed to get the power from the utility scale solar farm to someone's house. If you live somewhere with expensive electricity and decent sun (California, New Mexico, Arizona, Florida, the Carolinas, etc) it's usually worthwhile to put solar on your home. It's less effective than if someone competent were to spend the same money improving the grid, but in this day and age that's a lot to ask. | |
| ▲ | binary132 a day ago | parent | prev [-] | | I think most people installing solar are doing it in the hopes of improving their property value while possibly buffering their total dependence on the grid, with environmental virtue as a secondary benefit. |
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| ▲ | strongpigeon a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Yes and no. Having your own electricity production shields you somewhat from rising energy prices. That added predictability is worth something. |
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| ▲ | hectormalot a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| It depends. 80% of my electricity cost is taxes. If I produce it using PV, the consumption is never taxed, and the benefit is pretty substantial, on top of the market electricity price. (One rarely finds low risk investments that return 20-25% year) |
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| ▲ | gertlex a day ago | parent | next [-] | | Curious where you are roughly located; Does that 80% include the distribution of the electricity? Should I interpret the 20-25% returns as being, your annual savings on the utility bill are 20-25% of the cost of your PV install? | | |
| ▲ | hectormalot a day ago | parent [-] | | Netherlands. No distribution fees are separate. Roughly speaking the electricity is about €0.06 with about €0.20 in taxes on top. So offsetting consumption nets me about €0.26 cents per kWh. The installation of a 2800kWp system cost me about €2600 and generates between 2400-2750kWh annually, so about €650 euro. In a 10 year timespan that’s an IRR of 20%, creeping up to 25% for 20 years. | | |
| ▲ | gertlex a day ago | parent | next [-] | | Thanks for the numbers! I had no idea taxes were such a large fraction elsewhere. Good to know/consider. I'm most familiar with California. (and actually can't give a % that is taxes offhand) After the first year of having PV, I determined my own payoff time of about 5-7 years, so that was nice and self-justifying, and haven't dug deeper into details on that. | |
| ▲ | guerby 21 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | 2800kWp => 2800Wp :) |
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| ▲ | dzhiurgis 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | And 80% of your solar installation cost is labour... |
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| ▲ | oliwarner a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| We're paid £0.18 to generate (subsidised), £0.15 to export, and if I shift load via our battery, all our import is £0.07 per KWh. Even with a large house, homelab, and an EV, we barely pay for electricity over the year. Doesn't seem like a con to me. |
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| ▲ | __alexs a day ago | parent [-] | | You've only done the maths for half of one side of the equation. | | |
| ▲ | baq a day ago | parent | next [-] | | Remember that money is numbers in computers and joules and watts are real. Incentives and taxes are there so some things are easier to make real than others. | | | |
| ▲ | oliwarner 20 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | If you were more explicit about your equation, we could actually discuss it. Trading quips doesn't further the conversation. |
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| ▲ | matthewdgreen a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| It’s a con in the same way a generator is a con. Yes of course utility scale PV is much cheaper, but this way you get control of your own supply and demand. |
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| ▲ | mschuster91 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > The ROI of a large PV farm must be substantially better than a home scale install. Actually, it's the other way around. A rooftop solar doesn't require much: the land is already there (it's yours), there isn't any bullshit with permits, all you need is a ladder or a bucket truck, a few ultra cheap panels, an aluminum frame, an inverter and a few dozen feet worth of wiring. A large scale solar farm however? The developer needs to find suitable land (challenging to do when competing against big ag), there's permit paperwork involved because solar farms ain't agriculture, they need to pay for a high voltage connection to the nearest substation, the huge ass panels need a really solid support construction that can withstand wind and weather and that needs a solid foundation as well, you need thousands of feet worth of wiring, complex and massive inverters, lightning arrestors, god knows what. Oh and you get resilience against natural disasters for free on top of that. Some drunk driver plows into a power pole, some redneck shoots up some birds and kills the power line (yes, that happens so often that utilities release yearly reminders to please leave the birds alone), or a heavy storm / flood takes out entire substations for weeks, whatever - you throw the transfer switch, kill off all the non-essential consumers and can easily ride through a week worth of outage. |
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| ▲ | blobbers a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| You might want to start playing factorio ;-) The answer is yes: it is a lot easier to make a PV farm than a home scale install! |
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| ▲ | Dylan16807 18 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I don't get the joke. I mean, I understand factorio. But in factorio, "home scale" is extra easy. You can craft a handful of solar panels in your back pocket, no need to even think about setting up a production line. | |
| ▲ | __alexs 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | On the long road to 1M SPM already :) |
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| ▲ | guywithahat a day ago | parent | prev [-] |
| While I oppose climate hysteria, climate change is a consumer responsibility. You must limit your energy use, and you must choose better, more responsible options. Companies just do what consumers demand, they don't force anything onto anyone. There are lots of green energy power companies, I'd use one of them. |
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| ▲ | nextaccountic a day ago | parent | next [-] | | Human cognition has weird failure models that modern advertising can exploit. Free choices can only happen with a free mind, but unfortunately we have this weakness that makes us prone to manipulation. (this is also exploited by political propaganda) We can still individually make better choices, and also eat our vegetables, etc, but in the aggregate public policy is more efficient to make the large scale changes we need | | |
| ▲ | thfuran 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | >Free choices can only happen with a free mind And perfect information. Too bad 0% of consumers have the expertise and time to fully audit the supply chain of every product/service even assuming they could get ahold of that information. |
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| ▲ | triceratops 21 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > [companies] don't force anything onto anyone They don't force at gunpoint. They use cash and lies to convince. And the legal system to cow. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ExxonMobil_climate_change_deni... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steven_Donziger You aren't wrong that we should choose better. But what do you do when so much money and effort has been expended to ensure so many people don't know what better even is. | |
| ▲ | __alexs a day ago | parent | prev [-] | | I'm sorry if what I wrote made it sound like I don't take the climate crisis seriously. Quite the opposite which is why I think it's important we allocate resources to it efficiently. |
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