▲ | awesome_dude 2 days ago | |||||||
You've been wrong about everything else, so why stop there. The models we have are very coarse, and work for 24 hours (kind of, there are still extreme events that are difficult to be accurate about) More sensors are being deployed this very second - which will present a finer grained picture. It's not even at the rocket science part yet | ||||||||
▲ | habinero 2 days ago | parent [-] | |||||||
No. They are, again, correct. A chaotic system in physics means "a tiny difference in initial conditions leads to large differences in outcome". You cannot measure precisely enough to make a chaotic system predictable, even if the system is entirely deterministic and you understand all the physics involved. It doesn't matter how many decimal places of accuracy you have or how many sensors there are, the error in the next decimal place will matter. Theoretically, I suppose you'd eventually hit quantum effects and the fundamental limits of measurement. But I don't think quantum weather is likely to ever be a thing. Anyways, the classic chaotic system is a double pendulum. If we can't predict the motion of two sticks, we're not predicting the weather lol. | ||||||||
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