>The disruption is real. It's also predictable.

I'm not sure it is very predictable.

We have people saying AI is LLMs and they won't be much use and there'll be another AI winter (Ed Zitron), and people and people saying we'll have AGI and superintelligence shortly (Musk/Altman), and if we do get superintelligence it's kind of hard to know how that will play out.

And then there's John von Neumann (1958):

>[the] accelerating progress of technology and changes in human life, which gives the appearance of approaching some essential singularity in the history of the race beyond which human affairs, as we know them, could not continue.

which is what kicked of the misuse of a perfectly good mathematical term for all that stuff. Compared to the other five revolutions listed - industrial, rail, electricity, cars and IT, I think AI is a fair bit less predictable.