> America and Ukraine both rejected the 3 point ultimatum though […]

I was going to say that you're drinking Russia propaganda out of the fire hose then I saw that:

> They have a casualty exchange ratio of 44:1 at this point

What the heck are you talking about, even Russian MoD communication isn't as ridiculous.

How do you think a country of 32 million inhabitants count withstand for three years against a country of 150M with such a grotesque figure (that's the kind of ratio you'd only see in colonial wars in the XIXth century against hunter gatherers). There was not even enough Ukrainian male in age of fighting at the start of the war to make that figure work.

> So yes, the bet is paying off.

Putin has reinforced his internal power, so yes the bet is paying off, that was the only real goal from the start. After all war is just the continuation of internal politics through other means.

> In that case events of the next year will probably shock you.

Ah yes, like the events of 2022 were supposed to shock us as well: The special military operation overthrowing the Nazi government of Ukraine by taking Kiyv in three days…