> Ukraine has fewer soldiers and resources than Russia and currently has almost no offensive capability

No offensive capabilities and yet russian refineries keep burning reducing its capability to produce fuel to the point that the fuel in Russia is most expensive it has ever been by a large margin. No vehicles run on crude and russia will eventually have to walk their soldiers to the front lines.

> I remember "experts" saying Russia would collapse economically in 2023

Experts weren't necessarily wrong. It's just hard to notice collapse of something that's already almost a failed state that constantly lies about how things are.