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littlestymaar 2 days ago

The US had limited interest in the Ukraine winning and a lot to gain from Russia wearing down until they are far from even dreaming of being a peer adversary.

The EU on the other hand is under existential threat from Russia so they (we, actually as I'm French) really ought to do something serious to help Ukraine not only stabilize the front line and wear down Russia, but win this war.

But because we underinvested in defense for decades (because the Western Europe couldn't imagine a conflict was possible with their biggest trade partner, and because eastern Europe was too keen on trading political influence inside the EU to the US in exchange for security guarantees against Russia without having to build a capable military on their own) we ended up in 2022 with little capabilities to really help Ukraine.

And because of the obsession with public spending and debt reduction, countries refused to seriously invest seriously in their industrial capabilities to supply the Ukrainians with a war-changing amount of ammo and other assets. (the fact that South Korea alone was able to give more ammo to the Ukrainians than the whole of EU in 2023 is a sad joke really).

I can't really blame the US, they played their own interests while minimizing consequences for them (and that's also why they wanted to avoid escalation in priority). But I do blame European leaders, including my own president, for not taking this matter as seriously as they should have. (For a full 10 month in 2023 Les forges de Tarbes, France's main production of 155mm shells, has been stuck with no way of producing anything because they couldn't pay their suppliers because they lacked liquidity to do so, this was utterly ridiculous and should have been solved with a single phone call. But nobody in charge bothered, for almost a year…)

ponector 2 days ago | parent | next [-]

>> The EU on the other hand is under existential threat from Russia

EU as an entity is under threat. But only few members bordering Russia actually feel the threat. Russia is not going to invade France or Spain anytime soon, they are relaxed.

627467 2 days ago | parent | next [-]

> Our threat is not Russia bringing its troops across the Pyrenees - Pedro Sanchez

> He also wrote that a 5 percent defense spending goal would jeopardize the country’s welfare system,

> Sánchez said that 17% of this year’s military spending would go to natural disaster relief.

The Spaniards are the only ones outright saying it, but seem very obvious that the silent (and overwhelmingly economical) majority in EU think this way

tim333 2 days ago | parent [-]

Spain is part of NATO and the EU though and so kind of obliged to help defend EU and NATO countries near Russia.

rcxdude 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Which is a very short-sighted view, because a Russia that manages to expand its territory is a Russia that will look to continue to expand into a now-weaker Europe.

littlestymaar 2 days ago | parent | prev [-]

That's the key problem yes.

The economic consequences of the war have been severe for Germany though, but they don't seem to care that much unfortunately…

ahartmetz 2 days ago | parent | prev [-]

At the beginning of the Ukraine war, Rheinmetall of Germany "could not" deliver artillery shells because they were busy manufacturing a large order from Hungary aka Putin's submarine in the EU. Ridiculous.