| ▲ | jstanley 7 hours ago | |
> 70% probability Hillary would win was actually accurate. Based on what? | ||
| ▲ | AftHurrahWinch 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | |
This: https://vincentarelbundock.github.io/Rdatasets/doc/dslabs/po... | ||
| ▲ | softwaredoug 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | |
Based on historically common polling errors and how state polling errors correlate. 70% is far more likely than 99%. | ||
| ▲ | wahnfrieden 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | |
Probably hadn’t expected https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_interference_in_the_... | ||