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nomel 3 days ago

No. It’s not “decreasing”, it’s decreasing.

We’re in the realm of math here, not your opinion or imagination.

The second derivative is negative for all data shown (except 2018). That means, factually, objectively, in reality, as measured, the rate of growth decreased.

If you need help understanding this, I can provide a spreadsheet with the calculation and plots.

maxglute 2 days ago | parent [-]

No offense, "Realm of math" is useless autistic framing. We're in the realm of politics and policy. Numbers rising or falling are execution noise, downstream of intent and implementation. PRC's 13th/14th Five-Year Plans all kept medium term target (~200GW by 2035). Shortfalls (i.e. numbers decreasing) come from first-gen domestic reactor growing pains not strategic abandonment. Pointing at a latest points graph line and yelling "decreasing" without context is spreadsheet nitpicks vs what policy signals suggest future trend will be. The reality is PRC rollout is slightly behind schedule, single digit years. LCOE of solar and other renewables are increasing projected energy generation targets, so nuclear is less as % of energy mix even though policy for nuclear has been steady, i.e. behind schedule =/= decreasing nuclear commitment.

a day ago | parent [-]
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