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logifail 3 days ago

> how can departments like BLS screw up to this extent

My null hypothesis might be that the BLS works for the government, so how can they not be under (implicit) pressure to goal-seek their figures.

Once the figure has been published, and widely reported, it can be revised downwards months later, few will care. The system may be broken by design.

3 days ago | parent | next [-]
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jeffbee 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

This is the furthest thing from a null hypothesis. This is dressing your conscious biases in sciensism.

logifail 3 days ago | parent [-]

> This is the furthest thing from a null hypothesis

"It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it"

Q: Why would one trust initial BLS jobs figures under this - or indeed any other - administration?

> This is dressing your conscious biases in sciensism

BLS figures being revised downward month after month after month is data, not bias.

wredcoll 3 days ago | parent [-]

No, thats anecdotes.

Actual data would be measuring predictions vs accuracy over several decades.