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cjensen 5 days ago

The article says "safest roads," but the statistic used to demonstrate that is deaths per 100K people rather than deaths per kilometer driven.

Seems to me the latter would be a much better metric for the safety of the physical roads.

prof-dr-ir 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

Yes, and the footnote also says that "this metric is age-standardized". I did not easily find an explanation of what that means, which made me distrustful of the data.

Fortunately, good old Wikipedia has what we are both looking for:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic-r...

For me the upshot is that UK still comes out quite good amongst its European peers, but the difference appears to be smaller.

IneffablePigeon 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Not sure I completely agree (if the definition of vehicles is cars). That disregards miles travelled by cyclists and pedestrians etc. If 10% of the population switched from driving to cycling to work but the death numbers stayed the same, that metric would go up but really nothing would have changed, either mortality wise or in terms of number of people using the roads.

fps-hero 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This would introduce a bias towards countries that are large and have extensive motorway networks. They would appear safer than countries that have a smaller portion of motorway miles.

> If we look at the number of deaths per billion miles driven, we see that motorways are roughly four times safer than urban roads, and more than five times safer than rural roads. This is not specific to the UK: among 24 OECD countries, approximately 5% of road deaths occurred on motorways.5 In almost all countries, it was less than 10%.

GuB-42 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I prefer the death per people metric as I am more interested in how likely I am to receive some bad news than some metric based on distance.

Both measures have bias, the "per people" metric doesn't take into account when people are actually driving while the "per kilometer" metric puts too much emphasis on long distance driving, which is usually done on motorways where it is the safest. Maybe the best metric would be "per time spent on the road, including as a pedestrian on the sidewalk", but I guess it is harder to estimate.

Anyways the UK is doing well on both metrics.

Vinnl 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Possibly even per trip? I'm confident my bicycle trips to the supermarket in the Netherlands is safer than a trip to Walmart in the US by car, but I spend way fewer kilometres doing the same job. That only makes it even safer, but I think is discounted in per-KM statistics?

jamesblonde 5 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Montana would be amazingly safe based on your metric.

iiovemiku 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

Rural roads are far more dangerous than urban roads per mile. Higher speeds (whether by limit or driver disregard), worse infrastructure, and less police and hospitals means that the crashes that do happen are far more likely to kill.

cjensen 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Nope. It's top-10 for most dangerous [1].

[1] https://www.iihs.org/research-areas/fatality-statistics/deta...

voxic11 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

No actually on that metric Montana is one of the most dangerous and Massachusetts is one of the safest.

throwaway2037 5 days ago | parent [-]

    > Massachusetts is one of the safest
For those unaware, Boston (largest city in Massachusetts) has a reputation for incredibly aggressive drivers (so does New York City). Is Massachusetts relatively safer because it has so few freeways? I find it hard to believe this can be explained by "quality of drivers". Another idea: Maybe local police are very, very strict about drink/driving, thus reducing the number of deaths.
potato3732842 5 days ago | parent [-]

>Maybe local police are very, very strict about drink/driving, thus reducing the number of deaths.

The Karen Read trial was illustrative about how seriously Massachusetts law enforcement takes DUI.

hollerith 5 days ago | parent [-]

How is the Read trial relevant here? Karen Read was accused of intentionally running John O'Keefe over because she was angry at him.

potato3732842 5 days ago | parent [-]

>How is the Read trial relevant here?

The conduct of the law enforcement professionals and people they associate with leading up to the events relevant to the trail is relevant to a discussion of how seriously they take DUI.

hollerith 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

OK, how about this: how would someone who knows nothing about you other than your 2 comments here determine whether you think MA police take DUI seriously enough or whether you think they go too easy on DUI?

Read did drive under the influence and police and prosecutors laid harsh charges against her, but they could've laid those harsh charges (first- and second-degree murder IIRC) against her even if she had been stone sober that night, so it seems to me that the Read case says nothing about how harshly police and prosecutors treat ordinary DUIs.

potato3732842 4 days ago | parent [-]

Clearly the cops themselves have no problem with themselves and people in their social circles casually drinking and driving.

5 days ago | parent | prev [-]
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dboreham 5 days ago | parent | prev [-]

We put white crosses on the verge, one for every dead person in an accident. I drive past many crosses every time I run to the grocery store. So...not very safe in MT.