What do they mean what if? It is similarly based to something that has existed for around 4 decades. It of course is at a higher standard of efficiency and able to search through and combine more data but it isn't new. It is just a normal technology and this was why myself and many others were shocked at the initial hype.

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Eisenstein 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

> It is similarly based to something that has existed for around 4 decades.

Four decades ago was 1985. The thing is, there was a huge jump in progress from then until now. If we took something which had a nice ramped progress, like computer graphics, and instead of ramping up we went from '1985' to '2025' in progress over the course of a few months, do you think there wouldn't be a lot of hype?

	▲	ktallett 5 days ago \| parent \| next [-]
		But we have ramped up slowly, it's just not been given in quite this form before. We have previously only used it in settings where accuracy is a focus.
	▲	johnbellone 4 days ago \| parent \| prev [-]
		> Four decades ago was 1985 Don't remind me.

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tim333 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

The unusual feature of AI now as opposed to the last 4 decades is that it is approaching human intelligence. Assuming that progress continues, exceeding human intelligence will have different economic consequences to being a fair bit worse as was the case mostly.