I know from my own use case, it went from Gemini 1.5 being unusable to Gemini 2.0 being useable. So 2 years makes a big difference. It's out there right now being used in business making money. This is tangible.

I suspect there's a lot more use out there generating money than you realize, there's no moat in using it, so I'm pretty sure it's kept on the downlow for fear of competitors catching up (which is quick and cheap to do).

How far can one extrapolate? I defer to the experts actually making these things and to those putting money on the line.