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ACCount37 3 days ago

If I had a dime for every time I see this kind of hot take, I'd be able to buy an H200 with that.

A man looks at economics. Understands nothing. Thinks it must be all fake and made up. He must be so smart for seeing it through!

IshKebab 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

It is all fake and made up, and the numbers are detached from the real world, but it's not like the market doesn't know that.

Btw there's a decentish board game called Modern Art based around the pricing of art with no intrinsic value.

simianwords 2 days ago | parent | next [-]

>It is all fake and made up, and the numbers are detached from the real world, but it's not like the market doesn't know that.

How? The market is the one that made the decision to invest. They are not playing musical chairs.

xpe 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Perhaps there are salient differences between art on a wall and a company.

Workaccount2 3 days ago | parent [-]

At heart, not really. The whole point of all of this is to motivate humans to get off their butt and reduce entropy.

xpe 2 days ago | parent | next [-]

A painting on a wall is merely an inanimate object.

A company has agency; it seeks to add economic value to itself over time including changing people’s perceptions.

I don’t see how your comments have any bearing to the point I was making. What am I missing?

Workaccount2 2 days ago | parent [-]

I'm not the one who decided that a painting appreciates with time and trends. But they do it pretty reliably and people keep paying the dollars that we all use for everything else for them. It's just another generally appreciating asset regardless if it's value comes from looks or tax structuring utility.

xpe a day ago | parent [-]

>>>> different commenter above: It is all fake and made up, and the numbers are detached from the real world, but it's not like the market doesn't know that.

>>> me: Perhaps there are salient differences between art on a wall and a company.

>> you: At heart, not really. The whole point of all of this is to motivate humans to get off their butt and reduce entropy.

> me: A painting on a wall is merely an inanimate object. / A company has agency; it seeks to add economic value to itself over time including changing people’s perceptions.

The Horror! Just look at the disjointed conversational history above. It seems like some sort of drunken history episode where people aren’t paying attention to each other.

Should I assume you are trying to understand what I’m saying? It is becoming less plausible with every comment. (I’m referring to the “be charitable” part of HN guidelines.)

Additionally, there is another anti-pattern at work here: this seems like a pretty inane definitional argument. You’re claiming there’s no difference between art on a wall and a corporation entity? By what definition? What is the utility of your definition; meaning, what can you do with your definition that provides differential predictive power?

My claim: when it comes to valuation, an agent is sufficiently different from a non-agent (yes, even if it appreciates!) What is the criteria for “sufficiently different”? To explain: if you get more benefit out of a distinction than it costs you to make the distinction, it is a net benefit.

In this case about valuing things, someone who makes a living building predictive valuation models is going to distinguish wall art from corporate entities because doing so is useful for prediction.

Of course they have some things in common. This is irrelevant to the question of “is making this distinction worth it?” As long as predicting the difference between them is valuable paying attention to the distinction is valuable.

This kind of talking past each other is one of many reasons “why we can’t have nice things” such as useful discussion. Shameful.

If you propose some grand unified theory that says two things ultimately derive from the same thing, that’s fine, but if you’re going to use it for prediction you’ll have to explain how to apply it.

badpun 2 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Art piece cannot do buybacks/dividends.

eatsyourtacos 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Economics is entirely made up. It's a social science.

ACCount37 3 days ago | parent [-]

In case of economics, the gap between "social science" and "entirely made up" is ten miles long and filled with hellfire.

The laws of economics have the kind of inevitability you expect from the laws of physics. Disrespect them at your own peril.

luisfmh 2 days ago | parent | next [-]

Hard disagree on this. The gap between the levels of statistical significance you get in economics vs physics is massive. They're not at the same levels of inevitability. The predictive power of the laws of physics vs the laws of economics is vastly different.

eatsyourtacos 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

>The laws of economics have the kind of inevitability you expect from the laws of physics

Absolutely not- that is ridiculous.

Let's take "supply and demand" for example. Supply and demand only applies when you assume greed and capitalism. In a different social construct, the traditional supply & demand completely falls apart. But the problem is economics is presented as some sort of fact of nature. It just reinforces survival of the fittest instead of society that helps everyone.

Increasing prices because of demand is not the law of the land- it's a greed of humans that you normalize and make acceptable.