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NitpickLawyer 3 days ago

If we make a comparison to the dotcom bubble, this bubble will take the equivalent of catsdotcom and dogsdotcom, not the equivalent of FAANG++. And even that comparison is iffy, because we just don't know where the end is with this one. We've seen capabilities only increase so far. We've also seen prices decrease by orders of magnitude between SotA "generations". Things continue to scale, and no one knows how far it'll go. There's a reason everyone is doing the coding agent cli of the month, and everyone is heavily subsidising coding - data, more data, and crucially (hah) signals on generation quality, acceptance rate and so on. Take that, put it in the new generation, training goes brr, post-training goes RL, etc.