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mediaman 7 days ago

Interesting theory, but Amazon uses tons of stochastic methods (including deep reinforcement learning) throughout the business, including warehouse inventory management. "Determinism" is not some north star that operations people always adhere to, because the physical world is deeply stochastic and pretending it isn't does not make for a successful operations career.

DenisM 7 days ago | parent [-]

There’s Gaussian and fractal randomness. Fraud and transportation losses are Gaussian, for example - they average out to known values. An empowered LLM can wreck absolute havoc, and if it’s not empowered there’s no reason to spend $100b on training it.

master_crab 7 days ago | parent [-]

This really isn’t highlighted enough. Most real world probabilities that are evaluated follow a Gaussian structure. LLMs…don’t? Fractal probably? Heavy tailed maybe (like a Cauchy distribution)? But certainly not in ways that companies are currently accustomed to.