▲ | gjrq 6 days ago | |
Latest numbers are about 1e6 qubits with 1e-4 error rate: https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.15917. Gates (in the sense the OP means) is harder to quantify in the error corrected context once you compile to the operations that are native to your code. Total compute time of about a week assuming a 1MHz "clock" (code cycle time, for the experts). In some ways this is the harder metric to meet than the qubit numbers. Note that the magic of quantum error correction (exponential improvement in the error rate goes both ways): if you could get another 9 in qubit fidelity, you get a much larger improvement in qubit numbers. On the other hand, if you need to split your computation over several systems, things get much worse. | ||
▲ | adgjlsfhk1 6 days ago | parent [-] | |
given the correct state of gate noise progress, it seems likely that we might get an extra order of magnitude of error before we get the 3 orders of magnitude in gates. |