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EMM_386 4 days ago

I don't understand at all how this is maddening or counter-intuitive.

When you have a child, the odds are ~50% ... so the chance the next child is a boy or girl is almost equal. Is it because of the way it's framed that makes people think harder than they need to be?

This is like when I (very rarely) play something like "pick six".

I play 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6. People think I'm crazy. They don't realize I have the same odds as any ticket they purchase.

n4r9 4 days ago | parent [-]

If you have to share the prize money with other people that guessed the same numbers, then it seems sensible to avoid obvious patterns.

EMM_386 a day ago | parent [-]

Good point, others have said the same. In the rare scenario where I buy one of these tickets, I'd be more than happy to share the winnings!

One billion dollars goes a long way ... even after taxes!