I did not speak of "exponential" returns, but it is now feasible for one person to compete with a team, or a small team with a big one, due to co-ordination costs and the difficulty of assembling the right people.

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conartist6 6 days ago | parent [-]

What?? That isn't a complete idea. It has always been possible for a small team to compete with a big one.

As someone on a very small team competing with a very big one I don't have time for anything that can't bring exponential returns. I have no time for LLMs.

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esafak 5 days ago | parent [-]

What even is an exponential return? You need to be more precise with your terms.

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conartist6 5 days ago | parent [-]

An investment in a person has superlinear returns: with time the human student becomes the teacher. Each person you teach might teach two more people, with the overall trend following exponential growth deriving from the value of the initial investment in a single person.

LLMs promise to speed you up right now in direct proportion to the amount you pay for tokens while sacrificing your own growth potential. You'd have to be a cynic to do it -- you'd have to believe that your own ideas aren't even worth investing in over the long term

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5 days ago | parent | next [-]

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esafak 5 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Returns for who, the company or the student? Juniors are often a net negative for companies. Some stay that way because they just won't learn. You would get further by hiring seniors and learning from them.

	▲	conartist6 5 days ago \| parent [-]
		Again that's the cynical view which assumes management but no leadership with any ability or conviction. Sadly that's commonly the reality now.