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bpt3 4 days ago

What happens if the PRC annexes Taiwan without bloodshed?

The options available to the US are: attack the PRC to blow up the chip manufacturers and probably start WW3, or frantically try to replicate the capabilities of the Taiwanese fabs before the PRC decides to cut the US off.

In the meantime, the PRC will have immense leverage over the rest of the world, and there is no scenario where they don't extract as much as they can from that advantage.

chrsw 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

I’d rather prepare for life with China in total control of Taiwan than try and defend Taiwan from China. I believe they will take Taiwan without bloodshed, anyway. Which is why it is critical to build up the US advanced manufacturing base. It will take a long time and cost a lot of money.

bpt3 3 days ago | parent [-]

I believe the US government agrees with you, which is why they are investing in domestic alternatives to TSMC (including encouraging TSMC to build a plant in the US).

LeafItAlone 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

>What happens if the PRC annexes Taiwan without bloodshed?

Do you realistically see that happening? Why would the US allow that to happen when they are so reliant on it not?

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taiwan%E2%80%93United_States...

bpt3 3 days ago | parent [-]

I don't think it's likely to happen, but it's certainly an option I would prepare for if I were the US government.

As to why the US would allow it to happen, the PRC could take steps that would make the defense of Taiwan politically undesirable to the US (threatening biological warfare is one example that comes to mind).