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sebastiennight 3 days ago

> How many "we will have AGI by X/X/201X" predictions have we blown past already?

This seems wildly inaccurate.

Can you find any single such claim from any credible source? Anybody hyping up an AGI timeframe within the 2010s?

jandrese 2 days ago | parent [-]

Ok, this one is for the end of 2025 so we could still achieve it, and this is from a guy with an AI company (xAI):

https://www.reuters.com/technology/teslas-musk-predicts-ai-w...

Another AI company CEO prediction:

https://time.com/7205596/sam-altman-superintelligence-agi/

sebastiennight a day ago | parent [-]

I think you're proving my point here. Nobody credible was promising AGI would be arriving in the 2010s.

2025 is halfway through the 2020's.